No. #40
Neglect of Probability
- Ignoring Statistical Likelihood
The neglect of probability is the tendency to disregard probability and statistical likelihood in decision-making. This bias can lead to prioritizing features or initiatives based on anecdotal evidence rather than data-driven analysis.
Read more on WikipediaProduct example
Ignoring the low probability of a specific app crash occurring, a team might allocate excessive resources to fixing an issue affecting a very small percentage of users.
Empathy tips
1
Probability Education
Educate teams on basic principles of probability and statistical analysis.
2
Risk Assessment
Implement risk assessment protocols that consider statistical likelihood.
3
Prioritization Frameworks
Use prioritization frameworks that include probability as a factor.
4
Data-Driven Decision-Making
Foster a culture of data-driven decision-making, emphasizing the role of statistical likelihood.
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Anna Lundqvist
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